Big names are always nice to have on a fantasy roster, and can give any fantasy owner confidence going into the season.
Names like Miguel Cabrera, Mike Trout, and Justin Verlander are always nice to have on a roster, but often times the name doesn’t live up to the hype.
Fantasy owners are quick to pick a player based on name alone and hype surrounding the player heading into the season, but there are some players who are going far too high.
Mock drafts are always nice to look at to prepare for a draft, but even experts can fall victim to hype around a player. These are players that you may want to think twice about before taking as high as some fantasy analysts say you should.
Justin Upton – OF, Atlanta Braves
While Upton is an enticing pick, after being traded to the Atlanta Braves in the offseason, he is going far too high in some drafts. On average, Upton is going in the late second round in Yahoo! League drafts, and in the Sports Illustrated expert draft he went 19th overall.
While Upton scored 107 runs for the Arizona Diamondbacks last season, his power numbers took a turn for the worse.
After hitting 31 homeruns in 2011, he only hit 17 last season. His numbers in slugging percentage, doubles, triples, and on-base plus slugging percentage all decreased as well.
The potential for Upton to improve is there, especially with the lineup he has around in him Atlanta, but there are better options behind him.
In Yahoo! drafts, players like Ian Kinsler and Dustin Pedroia are going behind Upton. Both players have put up better power numbers than Upton in the past, and have a much better track record than Upton.
Upton certainly shouldn’t go past the third round, but it might be smart to look at some other options when considering adding Upton to your team.
Jose Reyes – SS, Toronto Blue Jays
Yes, Reyes is a very good player, but he is not deserving of all the hype he’s been getting as of late.
Last year with the Miami Marlins, it’s hard to say that he was worthy of the $100 million the team shelled out to get him.
Now with the Blue Jays, Reyes is looking for a fresh start, but that doesn’t mean his numbers are worthy of where he’s been going in drafts.
In both the SI expert draft and the Fox Sports expert draft, Reyes went in the second round, fifth pick.
While he is one of the best players in the game at producing stolen bases, it really depends upon your team needs.
If you need stolen bases, then Reyes is a solid option, but his numbers have been declining over the years in several other categories.
Reyes has never driven in more than 68 runs in a season, and has never had a season slugging percentage of higher than .493.
However, power numbers aren’t what Reyes is generally known for, but both his average and his on base percentage went down from 2011 to 2012.
It will be interesting to see how Reyes does in Toronto compared to Miami, but with Starlin Castro and Hanley Ramirez being drafted after Reyes, fantasy owners may want to consider those options given Reyes’ recent numbers.
Adrian Gonzalez – 1B, Los Angeles Dodgers
While the 30-year-old has been with three different teams in the past four seasons, there is no question that his numbers are starting to decline.
Traded to the Dodgers toward the end of the season by the Red Sox last season, he is looking to spend his first full season in LA.
Despite his well-publicized decline last season, he is still going high in a number of mock drafts.
The Fox Sports expert draft had him going to the second pick in the third round, and in ESPN mock drafts, Gonzalez is going in the mid-third round.
In Gonzalez’s case, fantasy owners just need to look at his numbers to know he isn’t worth that pick.
His homeruns have declined every season since 2009, and he has struck out over 100 times every year he has been in the league.
Between 2011 and 2012, his batting average, slugging percentage, on-base percentage, RBI, and hits all declined.
Gonzalez is still a reliable outfielder to have on your roster, but players like Billy Butler and Edwin Encarnacion are going behind him in many drafts. Both Butler and Encarnacion have higher upsides in the first base slot, and put up much better numbers than Gonzalez in 2012.