Pitching staffs throughout Major League Baseball are buying into the youth movement. Many teams feature young arms at the top of their rotations and the back end of their bullpens. The following pitchers, all age 25 and below, are pitchers who have established their viability as top fantasy arms, and should be early-round targets for anyone playing in a keeper league.
10. Matt Moore, Tampa Bay Rays, Age 24
Coming into 2012, Moore was a near-unanimous Rookie of the Year prediction, and many writers even believed, on the heels of his dominating postseason, he had a strong shot at the Cy Young Award. His ascent to the upper echelon of starting pitchers has been more slow and steady than meteoric, but Moore is a solid pick to remain at the top of your fantasy rotation for years to come. A power lefty with truly electric stuff, once Moore harnesses his control – limiting walks and pitching deeper into games – he will be even more of an asset.
9. Mat Latos, Cincinnati Reds, Age 25
Until this evening, Latos hadn’t lost a decision in 20 starts. Held to a strict workload limit coming up with the Padres, the righty is now a dependable innings-eater, with a knack for a big strikeout game. 11 of his 14 starts this season have been quality starts, and the Reds offense should continue to support his efforts in years to come. Latos has never suffered a serious arm injury, and is a solid choice in your keeper league.
8. Shelby Miller, St. Louis Cardinals, Age 22
Even in his rookie season, it’s not difficult to justify drafting Miller with high expectations for the future. To date this season, Miller is 8-4 with a 2.08 ERA, and an even more impressive 10 strikeouts per nine innings. The Cardinals have shown concern in keeping his pitch count modest this season, as he has never thrown more than 113 this season. The 19th overall pick in the 2009 draft has made good on his potential thus far, and fantasy owners should be excited about his career development.
7. Aroldis Chapman, Cincinnati Reds, Age 25
In now his fourth season in the big leagues, Chapman has secured his role as a relief pitcher on Dusty Baker’s squad, though the prospect of starting the flame-throwing lefty seems to resurface every Spring Training. With a fastball that can make even Nolan Ryan’s Express seem like off-speed stuff, Chapman has been near-unhittable since breaking into the Major Leagues. Over his career, he has allowed only 86 hits in 166.0 total innings pitched, and his career strikeout rate is a whopping 14.4 per nine innings. With an effortless delivery to accompany his superhuman heat, he's shown no signs of wear thus far.
6. Madison Bumgarner, San Francisco, Age 23
At only 23-years-old, Bumgarner has the experience of a veteran pitcher having worked in two postseasons where the Giants won the World Series. The tall lefty has shown that he can throw over 200 innings in a season, and is a strikeout pitcher who limits walks and pitches economically. Twice in his career, Bumgarner has experienced a late-season “dead arm” period where his velocity dropped from the low- to mid-90s into the high-80s, which would otherwise be a reason for concern. However, he rebounded on both occasions, and has never suffered an arm injury. Once regarded as the less-flashy counterpart to Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain, Bumgarner is emerging as an ace.
5. Craig Kimbrel, Atlanta Braves, Age 25
Braves fans can’t help but watch Kimbrel and have visions of an – albeit right-handed – Billy Wagner reincarnate. As baffling as it is to see a diminutively-built pitcher consistently fire four-seamers in the upper 90s, Kimbrel has been as steady as he has been dominant, leading the league in saves with 46 and 42 in 2011 and 2012, respectively. After throwing 77.0 innings in his rookie season, Fredi Gonzelez has worked hard to preserve his star reliever since, keeping a close watch on his workload. Kimbrel will see plenty of save opportunities for years to come as the Braves fireman.
4. Chris Sale, Chicago White Sox, Age 24
Signed to a five-year, $32.5 million contract at the beginning of the 2013 season, the White Sox made a strong statement about their belief that the rail-thin lefty could, in fact, endure over the course of a long season. Despite a 5-5 record this season, he has actually shown improvement across many categories – the most striking of which is his 4.53 strikeout to walk ratio, as compared to 3.76 in 2012. At 6’6” and 180 pounds, with one of the more logic-defying bodies and deliveries among big league starters, baseball writers will likely continue to doubt Sale’s ability to stay healthy over his career. However, he has shown no signs of breakdown, and has even dealt two complete games this season, and is proving great baseball minds wrong with his durability every start he makes.
3. Stephen Strasburg, Washington Nationals, Age 24
Similar to Sale, Strasburg has been labeled an injury risk ever since undergoing Tommy John surgery after making 12 starts in his rookie season. The pride of the Nationals farm system is proving every day that the label should finally be removed. Stuff has never been an issue for Strasburg, and even after elbow surgery, he has retained his upper-90s four-seam fastball and sharp breaking slurve. Strasburg maintains that his high strikeout rate is unintentional, and that he would gladly sacrifice numbers in the K department to be a more efficient pitcher - something pitching coach Steve McCatty worked on with fellow starter Jordan Zimmermann before this season, with fantastic results. Already at the top of the class among all starting pitchers, fantasy owners can look forward to an evolution in Strasburg, as he works to add durability to his toolkit.
2. Matt Harvey, New York Mets, Age 24
Since busting onto the scene in mid-2012, Harvey has teased fans with what seems like one near-no-hitter after another. Already a polished college arm when he was drafted with the seventh overall pick in the 2012 draft, Harvey’s poise on the mound is nearly as impressive as his raw stuff, which features a hard slider and a fastball that hits 99 MPH. Harvey is built like Justin Verlander, a power pitcher who can withstand large workloads, and hasn’t endured injury woes in his professional career. One has to wonder what a change of scenery – and a subsequent increase in run support – could do for his win total, but for now, the Mets are committed to their phenom who puts on a show for a packed house whenever he takes the mound at Citi Field.
1. Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles Dodgers, Age 25
With a Cy Young Award, two ERA titles, and 66 career victories already to his credit, it is easy to lose sight of the fact that Kershaw is still only 25 years old. He is as close to a “sure thing” as any pitcher in Major League Baseball,as he is just entering his prime in terms of age, and has shown consistency and improvement in every season. He’s handled a heavy workload of 233.1 and 227.2 innings pitched in 2011 and 2012, respectively, and led the league in WHIP in both. Kershaw could well be the top pitcher in fantasy baseball for many, many years to come.