The AFC South champion Houston Texans will take on the 12-win Oakland Raiders in the first of four wild card games this upcoming weekend. It's a game that features two backup quarterbacks with the recently benched Brock Osweiler leading his Texans against rookie fourth-round pick Connor Cook and the Oakland Raiders.
Here's a look at the game from a fantasy perspective.
The Quarterbacks
There's no other way to put it. This might be the worst quarterback matchup in the modern history of the NFL Playoffs. After signing a massive $72 million contract in free agency, Osweiler was actually benched in favor of Tom Savage during the team's Week 15 games against the Jacksonville Jaguars. At that point, Osweiler had thrown 14 touchdowns and 16 interceptions in 14 starts.
This had Osweiler as the 28th-best fantasy quarterback at the conclusion of the regular season. Now set to take on an Oakland Raiders defense that finished in the bottom eight of the NFL against fantasy quarterbacks, it will be interesting to see if Osweiler can take advantage of this matchup. He heads in as the second-cheapest FanDuel quarterback, so there's definitely some value there.
On the other hand, Connor Cook becomes the first quarterback in the modern history of the game to make his first NFL start in the playoffs. He does so against a Texans defense that gave up just 20 touchdowns en route to yielding the third-fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks on the season. Even as the cheapest option in both FanDuel and DraftKings contests, Cook is not a relevant option here.
The Running Backs
Texans running back Lamar Miller will return to action after missing the final two regular season games with an ankle injury. Despite seeing himself sidelined down the stretch, Miller still finished as a mid-tier RB2 option. In fact, he tallied nearly 1,300 total yards and six touchdowns in 14 games.
Taking on a Raiders defense that gave up over 2,000 total yards and 18 touchdowns to running backs during the regular season, Miller is at the top of the heap when it comes to non-elite options this week.
While the Raiders would surely love to rely on their running backs with Cook getting the start, it's going to be tough sledding against a Texans defense that ranked in the top eight of the NFL against fantasy running backs and yielded less than four yards per attempt.
Making matters more difficult here, we have no idea who to rely on from a DFS standpoint. Latavius Murray, Jalen Richard and DeAndre Washington all split time toting the ball. A Raiders running back has only attempted 20-plus rushes three times this season. As much as we might want to rely on Murray here based on his price, there's just too many indicators pointing to a lack of relevancy as it relates to the Raiders' running back situation.
The Wide Receivers
Normally, the likes of DeAndre Hopkins, Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree would be splendid fantasy options. In fact, both Cooper and Crabtree finished the regular season as WR1 options in standard 12-team leagues. Hopkins himself struggled to connect with Brock Osweiler, finishing just inside the top 30.
Naturally, all three of these receivers are going to take a hit with backup quarterbacks set to take to the field on Saturday. Though, we already know what Hopkins and Osweiler bring to the table. It's not good. In fact, Hopkins put up one 90-plus yard performance in his first 15 games. He, however, did respond with a seven-catch, 123-yard outing in Week 17. That could very well be a prelude of things to come, especially against a bad Oakland Raiders pass defense.
As it relates to both Cooper and Crabtree, there's really not much to see here. We're not going to rely on two talented receivers to put up big fantasy numbers with a rookie quarterback making his first NFL start in the postseason. We're most definitely not going to do that against a Texans defense that yielded the fourth-fewest fantasy points to receivers on the season.
The Tight Ends
We haven't seen anything of substance from Raiders tight ends this season, so they are about as irrelevant as it gets from a fantasy perspective. It's in Houston where this might get interesting.
C.J. Fiedorowicz hasn't been spectacular by any stretch of the imagination this season. In fact, Fiedorowicz boasted a 43 percent catch rate over the final three regular season games and finished catching just 61 percent of his targets. He also finished outside of TE1 territory in both fantasy consistency and target distribution. Despite this, the Texans' tight end did finish as a TE2 option in 12-team leagues.
We primarily have Fiedorowicz second in this article based on who he is going up against this weekend. Oakland finished the regular season yielding the ninth-most fantasy points to tight ends. Heck, here's a team that gave up an absurd 12.8 yards per reception to this position.
With rookie Karl Joseph injured and the Raiders continuing to struggle covering tight ends from the linebacker position, look for Fiedorowicz to connect big time with a quarterback in Brock Osweiler who struggles getting the ball to his receivers.