Through two games this season, new Philadelphia Eagles running back DeMarco Murray has put up 11 yards on 21 rush attempts. You read that right, he's averaging 0.5 yards per rush for the Eagles this year.
Some may conclude that a two-game sample size isn't necessarily the best possible gauge for a player's future success. And while that's true, there are a few things here that suggest Murray will continue to struggle in the Eagles offense, making him a fantasy black hole for those of you who drafted him early this summer.
First off, Murray is averaging 0.8 yards after contact per rush through two games. That ranks him second-to-last in the NFL, just ahead of Mike Davis, who has attempted just seven attempts for the San Francisco 49ers this season. It also means that he's simply not getting the consistent holes needed for a running back to make an impact in the NFL.
Secondly, Murray has three broken tackles in 21 attempts. That's an average of one per seven rushes this year. For the sake of comparison, Murray broke 67 tackles in 393 attempts last year (one per 5.9 attempts).
This tells us a story of an Eagles offensive line that has struggled big time opening up lanes for Murray in the running game. After all, he did average 2.2 yards before contact last season — a much higher number than you see above.
As teams continue to play the pass against Philadelphia, especially with Sam Bradford struggling in the passing game, the holes for Murray to run through simply aren't going to be there. And while his overall production has to increase, it's not going to be anywhere near the level that you drafted him.
This means that the best bet for someone relying on Murray has to be to go out there and actually exhaust value at another position of more strength in order to bring in a viable starting running back moving forward this season.
Unfortunately, riding Murray as a top-end RB1 just isn't going to get you that far this year. That's the harsh reality.